Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.233030 0.277851 0.328147 0.388645 0.459315 0.539126 0.635959
2025-02-23 0.159619 0.214844 0.283851 0.375906 0.494918 0.642957 0.840346
2025-03-02 0.117393 0.173207 0.248817 0.357711 0.509303 0.711433 0.999624
2025-03-09 0.097992 0.155870 0.239591 0.367824 0.557147 0.823756 1.224244
2025-03-16 0.077925 0.132836 0.217177 0.353774 0.566376 0.880674 1.375070
2025-03-23 0.067581 0.122413 0.211155 0.361984 0.607598 0.986021 1.604923
2025-03-30 0.058912 0.112927 0.204694 0.367749 0.644485 1.087157 1.837038
2025-04-06 0.050214 0.101689 0.193327 0.363236 0.663172 1.160276 2.030657
2025-04-13 0.043176 0.092136 0.183257 0.359123 0.681226 1.232985 2.229091
2025-04-20 0.039304 0.087942 0.182151 0.370619 0.727291 1.356361 2.523046
2025-04-27 0.038259 0.089230 0.191461 0.402446 0.813178 1.555990 2.965750
2025-05-04 0.035448 0.086298 0.192011 0.417248 0.868543 1.705737 3.332083
2025-05-11 0.030960 0.079157 0.183526 0.414070 0.891209 1.801924 3.617676
2025-05-18 0.026207 0.070533 0.170689 0.400346 0.891781 1.857564 3.834864
2025-05-25 0.021820 0.061858 0.156282 0.381047 0.878264 1.884063 3.997869
2025-06-01 0.020057 0.059402 0.155579 0.391768 0.928841 2.041482 4.430640
2025-06-08 0.017015 0.052943 0.144377 0.376874 0.921976 2.081442 4.630863
2025-06-15 0.015650 0.050787 0.143309 0.385577 0.968352 2.235563 5.077388
2025-06-22 0.014306 0.048411 0.141303 0.391688 1.009368 2.381751 5.519239
2025-06-29 0.012645 0.044727 0.135285 0.386904 1.024192 2.472262 5.849523
2025-07-06 0.011210 0.041425 0.129746 0.382544 1.039423 2.564792 6.191555
2025-07-13 0.010530 0.040410 0.130430 0.394730 1.096680 2.757137 6.770192
2025-07-20 0.010601 0.041940 0.138660 0.428461 1.211640 3.091611 7.694370